NASCAR Texas OReilly 500 recap – The unknown surface produces a familiar winner!

jj texas

Jimmy Johnson did what nobody else had done before at Texas Motor Speedway in the Monster Energy Cup Series. He came from the back of the grid to win the 500 mile race. The previous deepest winning starting position was 31st and on Sunday Johnson came from the 38th spot to claim victory in what was one of the more odd races in recent memory.

The racing groove went through many changes during the race since the cup cars had last been on the track. Johnson and his Crew Chief Chad Knaus proved again why they are such a lethal combination. They both had been through this sort of repaving scenario before and were able to keep ahead of the track changes and propel the #48 to victory. Johnson worked his way through the field with what seemed to be relative ease, and did not rely on pit row to make up a chunk of positions. He simply carved up the competition as though they were holding on by the narrowest of margins. Making a late pass on J. Logano was the final key to victory as the #22 then raced K. Larson hard for the 2nd position. This hard fought race for 2nd between the #22 and #42 assured Johnson could clear himself of the competition for his first win of the year.

DFS – The #21, #42, #48, and #88 all scored better than 80 DraftKings points each and it was possible to roster all of them. There was concern over Johnson but not in regard to how well he would perform, but rather starting in the back he would only begin to earn position points when he surpassed 24th spot. Therefore he was limited on how many points he could acquire from that source. Pair this with the unknown passing factors on the new surface and that made the #48 a tournament option. It was clear this possible points squelching by the #48 was felt all over DFS rosters as he was only 20% owned in the $333 tournament.

When the race was over 9 of the top 10 finishers were listed as DFS selections here which made for a profitable day. Cash games (50/50s, Double-ups, and H2H) were played lightly but successfully winning 3/3 contests. In a 3 entry max tournament 2/3 entries cashed for a solid net profit. Overall DFS paid out at 5.5/1 which was very nice!

Wagering – Bridesmaids again with Larson! Not to mention we had Logano who was also in the wedding party finishing 3rd, and this is combined with R. Blaney who at over 20/1 won both stages! Although we lost on our wagers, DFS covered the losses and still provided a net profit for the day!

After all entries, wagers, and the vigorish was covered, there was a net profit of over 2/1 for the day! At this time we have made enough profit to cover all DFS entries and wagers until late August at a minimum. Through the first seven races we have made a profit of 35/1 – 40/1 combining both daily fantasy and wagering. This includes Kurt Busch winning at Daytona @ 22/1. The race winner has been picked and wagered on 4/7 times this year so far.

I want to thank the people who have sent me messages and let them know that we will begin to dive deeper into line-up and wagering construction as the season moves forward. This topic will be discussed as well as wagering on weekly driver matchups and the 2017 MENCS Championship.